Scored in public
How accurate our predictions are
Every prediction is checked against what the FAA flight plans later show, daily, on predictions made only with the data available at the time. A number appears here once a model has enough decided predictions — never before.
Jets idle at an airport
—same dayconfidence not yet measured — the daily backtest has not run yet
—a day aheadconfidence not yet measured — the daily backtest has not run yet
Empty legs predicted before they are posted
—flew the predicted routeaccuracy not yet measured — the daily backtest has not run yet
—inside the windowaccuracy not yet measured — the daily backtest has not run yet
—later posted by operatorsNot yet measured.
Airport demand, next 7 days
—vs a naive forecastnot yet measured — the daily forecast has not run yet
Updated Oct 7, 2026. Source: FAA SWIM flight plans for business aircraft. Filed plans, not wheels-off records: a filed flight that did not fly still counts. See the Radar →